
According to the various doomsday scenarios, the year 2012 will mark THE END... with forecasts for our demise that range from killer meteors hitting the Earth to a takeover by super-beings from another universe.
Bearing in mind that apocalypse predictions have been going strong for hundreds, if not thousands of years, how likely are these on the Starcruzer DDR or DOOMSDAY REGISTER , which has a five-point scale, with 1 being 'nothing will happen' to 5 being 'game over'?
Bearing in mind that this blog is titled Starcruzer, we'll leave aside some of the more outlandish ideas and concentrate on a few that we can look at from a technical standpoint. The 2012 doomsday prediction itself is a cultural MEME – an idea passed by word of mouth and media sources – that proposes cataclysmic and apocalyptic events will happen in the year 2012.
The 2012 forecast seems to be based mostly on the end-date of the Mesoamerican (central America including the Mayans) Long Count calendar. This has lasted 5125 years and comes to an end on December 21, 2012.
So what are the predictions? Well, there's Global Warming of course, which could well generate mass extinctions, though whether such events are likely in just three years is a matter of debate. DDR, let's say 3.
The nearest large SPACE OBJECT we know about is the asteroid Eros (pictured above), a chunk of rock some 34 km long, but its nearest pass in 2012 will be much further away than the Moon, so we can cross that off the danger list. DDR, perhaps 1.5.
Another theory suggests that an object 20 times bigger than the planet Jupiter is on the way. However, there's no evidence as yet, so for the moment the DDR on this one is another 1.5.
However this last item is a fascinating theory – and Starcruzer will put it under the microscope very soon.